Archive for October, 2009

Oct 28 2009

This is why I hate math…

Published by Adrian under news

If you take a test which is 99% accurate and it matches you for a terminal illness that afflicts one in 10,000 people, what is the probability that you have the disease? It’s actually less than one percent.

But this thought experiment is even more surprising: imagine you were sitting on the jury of trial of a man accused of rape. This person was not picked out out of a lineup, and his girlfriend has provided an alibi. The only evidence against him is a 1 in 3 million match DNA test. That’s pretty damning right? After all witnesses can make mistakes and girlfriends can lie, but DNA doesn’t, right?. But what does that actually mean?

Well a 1 in 3 million match doesn’t mean that there’s a 1 in 3 million chance that anyone other than the man committed the crime, what it means is that there’s a 1 in 3 million chance that any innocent person in the general population had a DNA profile matching that extracted from semen at the crime scene. If the crime had been committed in the United States (with a population of around 300 million) then about 100 people in the general population could have come out as a match.

Now, if you had 100 people in front of you and they all matched a DNA test you would certainly want more evidence. You wouldn’t go straight after the guy with an alibi who wasn’t picked out by the witness.

Damn you math! Always making me question my gut instincts.

5 responses so far

Oct 27 2009

So sloppy

Published by Adrian under news

Simple step by step process:

1) A friend sends an article  saying Scalia said he would have dissented in Brown v. Board of Education.

2) I start thinking about posting something on this blog because that’s outrageous.

3) I look where they got it from.

4) I see the video they’re talking about where he did not say that so I don’t post about that.

Huffington Post got everything after step 2 wrong. They have now updated the link.

Look people get misquoted all the time but this is so sloppy that I couldn’t let it go. It sounded so over the top that it was natural for me to look into it and then it took me about 10 minutes to confirm my suspicions.

6 responses so far

Oct 27 2009

Monday night

Published by Andy under news

No responses yet

Oct 26 2009

Baller

Published by Alex under news

old men

Opening November 3rd. Trailer here.

No responses yet

Oct 26 2009

Terence Riley bails on MAM

Published by Alex under news

“We are now ready to break ground on a building that is poised to be one of the greenest art museums ever built in the Americas. As such, this is the right moment for me to pursue other interests and for MAM to smoothly transition to a new leader who will see this project to its fruition,”

Uh, no, this is exactly the wrong moment. What gives?

31082500

Coincidentally enough, in Sunday’s NYT article about the end of the era of grandiose civic construction with show architecture, Miami and the planned Museum Park are prominently featured. I wonder if Riley’s resignation is indicative of major trouble for a project that has been hard to get off the ground and if the new MAM will ever be built.

Link.

No responses yet

Oct 25 2009

“Paraíso” and the witch hunt against new Cuban arrivals.

Published by Alex under Miami, commentary, immigration

paraiso“As an artist, are you really happy with this shallow and demonizing takeaway from a movie you have obviously put so much effort an passion into?” I wanted to ask Leon Ichaso the question, but honestly, I was so enraged by the Q&A session following a screening of “Paraíso” that I would have ended in a loud and pointless tit for tat with the audience of elderly Cubans filling out the Miami Beach Cinematheque. Besides, it became obvious that he was playing it up for the audience, too happy to endorse their paranoid fantasy of newly arrived balseros as hustlers aiming for their wallets or even their lives.

Ichaso has claimed he didn’t mean to generalize, but after seeing the movie and listening to his comments it’s hard to imagine he made much of an effort. There’s no redemption for newly arrived Cubans, no good characters other than the big-hearted exiles who open their fancy waterfront homes to them -because, you know, we are all very successful- regale them with feasts at Versailles and gift them with clothes and motorcycles. I have a few friends who would dispute this mythical generosity, but never mind. In Ichaso’s world the nice Cubans exist solely on this side of the Straits and the only balsero with an ounce of decency is murdered at sea. Apparently Yemayá saves only jineteros, thiefs and crack addicts from the waves and sharks, so that they can terrorize Miami later.

Prompted by the shaken viejitos in the audience who loudly wondered from what country those amoral marijuana growers and Medicare monsters come from, so different than their own pure and perfect generations -I guess they have never heard of Jose Miguel Battle, Humberto Hernandez or the De Cespedes brothers just to mention a few- Ichaso referred to newly arrived Cubans as Frankenstein monsters, men and women made of mismatched moral parts who grew in a Petri dish of a country without traditions or a patria. These circumstances would make them the real victims but this somehow escapes him, just as much as it escapes him the fact that the immense majority of new arrivals do not dedicate their lives to crime but to honest work, doing the same menial jobs that those who came in the 60s had to do in order to come ahead. This despite his admitting that the actors and crew were those same new arrivals!

The real Frankenstein monster is Ichaso’s movie, a patchwork of barely elaborated scenarios (what disruption is El Flaco causing at the hotel?) and a half-witted script (any of the radio monologues by Remigio), shot with a meandering and shaky camera prone to fast zooms and atrociously edited with dizzying intercuts and slow motion sequences trying to cloak the soap-opera level storytelling with an indie mantle. (Take your pick of any of these preposterous scenes: Ivan and Tamara arguing in a parking lot next to a gleaming Harley, Ivan being discovered as a model photo shoot where he was working as an assistant and wanders in front of the camera, Ivan confronting his old friend El Flaco, Ivan’s hysterical breakdown with Alina, etc.) Two redeeming qualities: it does screen much larger than its $30,000 budget, mostly because of the beautiful cinematography, and Miguel Gutierrez shows why he is possibly the best Cuban actor. The rest is all on-the-nose pretentiousness and ludicrous treacle.

It’s a pity, because the haunting, nuanced theme of the dissonance between the exiles that have lived most of their lives in a foreign country, admirably clinging to their traditions but also fantasizing nostalgically about the country they lost and doesn’t exist anymore, and their compatriots who have grown in communist Cuba, which is a great source of conflict and will be even more in the future, deserves a much more honest treatment than what Ichaso has delivered. It was particularly disappointing for me, because I thought the equally melodramatic and flawed “Bitter Sugar” had nonetheless managed to capture the stark reality of life in the island and the psyche of a desperate people. A realistic look could have made “Paraíso” our “The Lives of Others”, but instead becomes another piece of the paranoid tableau of exile which is currently obsessed with the new arrivals who travel to Cuba as soon as they can, shun Radio Mambí and cheered Juanes. (For more, see this political pamphlet disguised as academic research). Fear of the Other has affected each consecutive wave of migrants from Cuba. The Marielitos were scum and criminals, the balseros from 94 were apathetic cowards who didn’t stay and fight and if you want to know what to think about those aliens sullying Miami nowadays, well, just watch “Paraíso”.

2 responses so far

Oct 24 2009

Alex on El Nuevo

Published by Andy under news

So I’m reading this El Nuevo Herald story today on the Miami mayoral race, when I run into this quote:

“En mi opinión es una campaña que se ha hecho al estilo de Miami, es decir, muy tradicional”, comentó Alejandro Barrera, un experto en política local y activista comunitario del sur de la Florida.

Alejandro Barrera? That name sounds familiar to me.

Translation: “In my opinion, this is a Miami-style mayoral race, in other words, one that is very traditional,” said Alejandro Barrera–sometimes known as Alex Barreras–an expert in local politics and South Florida community activist.

2 responses so far

Oct 23 2009

Quote of the day

Published by Adrian under news

And do you think that unto such as you;
A maggot-minded, starved, fanatic crew:
God gave the secret, and denied it me?–
Well, well, what matters it! Believe that, too.

-Omar Khayyam

No responses yet

Oct 21 2009

Nation’s Morons March on Washington State

Published by Adrian under news

From the Onion:

With random cries of “Enough is enough,” “Do something now,” and “Huh?” thousands of the nation’s biggest morons descended on Washington State this week, some 3,000 miles from their intended destination of the nation’s capital.

Throughout the day, the number of protesters grew to include not just morons, but more than 6,000 nimrods, 3,500 dunderheads, and approximately 12,000 of the biggest fucking dipshits known to man.

At press time the morons had been walking for 10 minutes into a concrete wall in Kennewick, WA, where they eventually stopped to pay their respects to those who lost their lives during the Vietnam War.

Click here for the full story.

No responses yet

Oct 21 2009

You know how I know you’re gay? You don’t like the public option.

Published by Andy under news

No responses yet

Oct 21 2009

Google Wave

Published by Andy under news

I finally got an invite this morning. So far, it has tons of potential, but I’m a little underwhelmed. For some reason, it seems to have less functionality than in the videos I saw before I started using. But maybe I’m just imagining that. By the way, it is freaking complicated to use.

Screen shot 2009-10-21 at 1.17.23 PM

Leave me a comment if you’re on it so I can add you.

No responses yet

Oct 21 2009

Clemenism of the day

Published by Adrian under news

“Let us consider that we are all partially insane.”

“That is a simple rule, and easy to remember. When I, a thoughtful and unblessed Presbyterian, examine the Koran, I know that beyond any question every Mohammedan is insane; not in all things, but in religious matters. When a thoughtful and unblessed Mohammedan examines the Westminster Catechism, he knows that beyond any question I am spiritually insane. I cannot prove to him that he is insane, because you never can prove anything to a lunatic—for that is a part of his insanity and the evidence of it. He cannot prove to me that I am insane, for my mind has the same defect that afflicts his.”

“The rule is perfect: in all matters of opinion our adversaries are insane. When I look around me, I am often troubled to see how many people are mad.”

You can’t read enough Twain on religion.

No responses yet

Oct 21 2009

Finally

Published by Alex under news

I’ve been wondering where Organizing for America’s formidable grassroots machine was, in the wake of the town halls offensive. Here.

No responses yet

Oct 21 2009

“She’s actin’ single; I’m drinking doubles”

Published by Andy under news

No responses yet

Oct 20 2009

“And all you are is a goddamn Bystander”

Published by Alex under news

“Okay, you lazy bitch” and other Letters of Note.

No responses yet

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